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Table of Contents

U.S. Energy Scenarios for the 21st Century

Foreword    ii

Acknowledgements     iii

Executive Summary     iv

I. Introduction    1

II. Three Possible U.S. Energy Futures     3

A. Awash in Oil and Gas     4
B. Technology Triumphs     10
C. Turbulent World     19

III. Implications     27

A. Overview     27
B. Policy Overlay     27
C. Implementing the Policy Overlay Changes the Future  37
D. Observations and Results   39

IV. Conclusions     64

Endnotes    67

Appendices  69

  A. Glossary     69

  B. Technology Assessments*

1. Geological Carbon Sequestration    
2. Fuel Cells
3. Hydrogen
4. Energy Efficiency
5. Advanced Nuclear Technologies
6. Distributed Generation

  C. Detailed Model Output*

  D. AMIGA Model Abstract and Documentation*

* found in web version only.